Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000098 0.000110 0.000122 0.000136 0.000152 0.000169 0.000189
2024-10-27 0.000082 0.000097 0.000115 0.000137 0.000162 0.000192 0.000228
2024-11-03 0.000069 0.000086 0.000107 0.000134 0.000168 0.000209 0.000263
2024-11-10 0.000061 0.000080 0.000104 0.000136 0.000179 0.000233 0.000307
2024-11-17 0.000053 0.000073 0.000099 0.000135 0.000185 0.000252 0.000346
2024-11-24 0.000047 0.000068 0.000095 0.000136 0.000193 0.000272 0.000389
2024-12-01 0.000042 0.000062 0.000091 0.000134 0.000198 0.000289 0.000428
2024-12-08 0.000038 0.000058 0.000087 0.000133 0.000203 0.000305 0.000469
2024-12-15 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000133 0.000209 0.000324 0.000513
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000082 0.000133 0.000215 0.000344 0.000560
2024-12-29 0.000029 0.000049 0.000080 0.000133 0.000221 0.000363 0.000609
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000077 0.000131 0.000225 0.000378 0.000651
2025-01-12 0.000025 0.000043 0.000075 0.000132 0.000232 0.000401 0.000709
2025-01-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000074 0.000133 0.000240 0.000425 0.000772
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000131 0.000242 0.000440 0.000822
2025-02-02 0.000020 0.000038 0.000070 0.000133 0.000253 0.000471 0.000901
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000068 0.000132 0.000257 0.000490 0.000960
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000034 0.000067 0.000133 0.000264 0.000514 0.001031
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000032 0.000065 0.000131 0.000267 0.000531 0.001090
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000063 0.000130 0.000270 0.000550 0.001153
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000029 0.000061 0.000130 0.000276 0.000572 0.001226
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000028 0.000060 0.000130 0.000282 0.000597 0.001305
2025-03-23 0.000012 0.000027 0.000059 0.000130 0.000288 0.000622 0.001388